Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 50.76%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 26.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.14%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Central Coast Mariners in this match.