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Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Newcastle Jets
Australian A-League | Gameweek 14
Jan 27, 2024 at 7am UK
McDonald Jones Stadium
Wellington Phoenix

Newcastle Jets
1 - 2
Wellington

Buhagiar (80')
Stamatelopoulos (23'), Natta (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rufer (5' pen.), Zawada (87')
Al-Taay (43'), Pennington (45+3'), Rufer (85')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Wellington Phoenix.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle Jets

All competitions
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 3-1 Brisbane Roar
Tuesday, January 23 at 8am in Australian A-League

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions
Last Game: Wellington 1-1 Victory
Friday, January 19 at 6am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 53.19%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 25.07% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.37%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle JetsDrawWellington Phoenix
53.19% (2.829 2.83) 21.74% (-0.206 -0.21) 25.07% (-2.62 -2.62)
Both teams to score 62.96% (-1.872 -1.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.94% (-1.352 -1.35)36.05% (1.354 1.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.84% (-1.5 -1.5)58.16% (1.503 1.5)
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.28% (0.43000000000001 0.43)13.72% (-0.427 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.03% (0.845 0.84)40.97% (-0.843 -0.84)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.97% (-2.544 -2.54)27.03% (2.547 2.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.61% (-3.449 -3.45)62.39% (3.452 3.45)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle Jets 53.19%
    Wellington Phoenix 25.07%
    Draw 21.74%
Newcastle JetsDrawWellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 9.57% (0.25 0.25)
1-0 @ 7.37% (0.592 0.59)
2-0 @ 7.32% (0.692 0.69)
3-1 @ 6.34% (0.261 0.26)
3-0 @ 4.85% (0.526 0.53)
3-2 @ 4.15% (-0.13 -0.13)
4-1 @ 3.15% (0.176 0.18)
4-0 @ 2.41% (0.295 0.3)
4-2 @ 2.06% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.25% (0.088 0.09)
5-0 @ 0.96% (0.13 0.13)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 53.19%
1-1 @ 9.64% (0.104 0.1)
2-2 @ 6.26% (-0.297 -0.3)
0-0 @ 3.71% (0.245 0.25)
3-3 @ 1.81% (-0.198 -0.2)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 21.74%
1-2 @ 6.3% (-0.403 -0.4)
0-1 @ 4.85% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.17% (-0.256 -0.26)
1-3 @ 2.75% (-0.397 -0.4)
2-3 @ 2.73% (-0.346 -0.35)
0-3 @ 1.38% (-0.225 -0.23)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 25.07%

Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 6.30am
Gameweek 7
Wellington
0-3
Newcastle Jets

Rufer (45+1'), Barbarouses (90+1')
Stamatelopoulos (4', 47'), Taylor (43')
Cancar (29')
Mar 4, 2023 2am
Gameweek 19
Wellington
2-1
Newcastle Jets
Elliot (40'), Zawada (45+6' pen.)
Saito (51')
> Preview
Oct 22, 2022 7am
Gameweek 3
Newcastle Jets
3-1
Wellington
McGarry (4'), Dartsmelia (16'), Buhagiar (44')
Kraev (39')
Mar 18, 2022 8.45am
Gameweek 19
Newcastle Jets
4-0
Wellington
Boumal (51', 63'), Mikeltadze (67'), Babalj (83')
Al-Taay (35'), Mikeltadze (77')

Laws (4'), Elliot (74')
Mar 9, 2022 8.45am
Gameweek 9
Wellington
3-2
Newcastle Jets
Sotirio (25' pen.), Waine (45+1'), Ball (88')
Laws (5'), Sutton (90+3')
Penha (42'), Boumal (63')
Jurman (24'), Siatravanis (40'), O'Doherty (76'), Murnane (83')
rhs 2.0
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