Nizhny Novgorod

2 - 4

Rubin Kazan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nizhny Novgorod win with a probability of 44.04%. A win for Rubin Kazan had a probability of 28.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nizhny Novgorod win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.61%) and 2-1 (8.55%). The likeliest Rubin Kazan win was 0-1 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.