MX23RW : Saturday, December 28 20:29:39| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Millwall logo

Norwich
2 - 1
Millwall

Marcondes (4'), Schwartau (39')
Ben Slimane (62'), Schwartau (82')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Esse (65')
Leonard (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 2-1 Norwich
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Blackburn
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 2-1 Millwall

While Norwich are experiencing a difficult run of form, they tend to perform well in home games with Millwall, and we think that they will do enough to claim a narrow victory to extend their unbeaten record head-to-head home meetings to 21 matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 45.12%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Norwich City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Norwich City.

Result
Norwich CityDrawMillwall
45.12% (-0.353 -0.35) 25.89% (-0.132 -0.13) 28.99% (0.485 0.48)
Both teams to score 52.23% (0.716 0.72)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.31% (0.785 0.78)51.69% (-0.786 -0.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.53% (0.679 0.68)73.46% (-0.678 -0.68)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.15% (0.172 0.17)22.84% (-0.173 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.42% (0.252 0.25)56.57% (-0.253 -0.25)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.69% (0.77799999999999 0.78)32.31% (-0.777 -0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.19% (0.868 0.87)68.81% (-0.869 -0.87)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 45.12%
    Millwall 28.99%
    Draw 25.88%
Norwich CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 10.89% (-0.29 -0.29)
2-1 @ 9.09% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 8.04% (-0.172 -0.17)
3-1 @ 4.47% (0.024 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.96% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.53% (0.066 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.65% (0.017 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.46% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 45.12%
1-1 @ 12.31% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 7.38% (-0.234 -0.23)
2-2 @ 5.14% (0.109 0.11)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.88%
0-1 @ 8.34% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-2 @ 6.96% (0.113 0.11)
0-2 @ 4.71% (0.052 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.62% (0.097 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.93% (0.081 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.77% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 28.99%

How you voted: Norwich vs Millwall

Norwich City
64.5%
Draw
19.7%
Millwall
15.8%
76
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Millwall
1-0
Norwich
Bradshaw (18')
Cooper (61'), Honeyman (81'), Watmore (90+1'), Leonard (90+2')
Saville (88')

Barnes (60'), McLean (75'), Sargent (81'), Idah (90+3'), Nunez (90+8')
Aug 20, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 3
Norwich
3-1
Millwall
Rowe (25'), Sargent (49'), Barnes (56')
Rowe (45+1'), Omobamidele (90+3')
Emakhu (90+1')
Mitchell (45+1')
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Millwall
2-3
Norwich
Bradshaw (20'), Flemming (83')
Sorensen (38'), Bradshaw (55' og.), Sara (65')
Aug 19, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 5
Norwich
2-0
Millwall
Sargent (50', 75')
Gibbs (84'), Krul (90+2')

Saville (19'), Honeyman (66')
Feb 2, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 26
Millwall
0-0
Norwich
McLean (83'), (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds23146343152848
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd23155332131948
3Burnley2313823092147
4Sunderland23128336201644
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2211562720738
6Watford2211473229337
7Middlesbrough23106741311036
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2381142718935
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds239683133-233
10Swansea CitySwansea238692724330
11Bristol City237972728-130
12Norwich CityNorwich237883935429
13Millwall227782220228
14Derby CountyDerby2376102929027
15Coventry CityCoventry2376103234-227
16Preston North EndPreston2351172329-626
17Queens Park RangersQPR2351082331-825
18Luton TownLuton2374122539-1425
19Stoke CityStoke2357112332-922
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2256112439-1521
21Portsmouth214892637-1120
22Hull City2347122132-1119
23Cardiff CityCardiff2246122137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2246122249-2718


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