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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 45.12%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Norwich City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Norwich City.
Result | ||
Norwich City | Draw | Millwall |
45.12% ( -0.35) | 25.89% ( -0.13) | 28.99% ( 0.48) |
Both teams to score 52.23% ( 0.72) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.31% ( 0.78) | 51.69% ( -0.79) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.53% ( 0.68) | 73.46% ( -0.68) |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.15% ( 0.17) | 22.84% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.42% ( 0.25) | 56.57% ( -0.25) |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.69% ( 0.78) | 32.31% ( -0.78) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.19% ( 0.87) | 68.81% ( -0.87) |
Score Analysis |
Norwich City | Draw | Millwall |
1-0 @ 10.89% ( -0.29) 2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 4.47% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.09% Total : 45.12% | 1-1 @ 12.31% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.88% | 0-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 6.96% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.65% Total : 28.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 43 | 15 | 28 | 48 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 32 | 13 | 19 | 48 |
3 | Burnley | 23 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 30 | 9 | 21 | 47 |
4 | Sunderland | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 44 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 38 |
6 | Watford | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 37 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 41 | 31 | 10 | 36 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 23 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 35 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 33 | -2 | 33 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 24 | 3 | 30 |
11 | Bristol City | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 30 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 29 |
13 | Millwall | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 28 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 27 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 27 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 23 | 5 | 11 | 7 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
17 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 23 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 25 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 25 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 21 |
21 | Portsmouth | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 37 | -11 | 20 |
22 | Hull City | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 19 |
23 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | 49 | -27 | 18 |
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