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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 79.77%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 6.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.78%) and 1-0 (10.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.48%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (2.51%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.
Result | ||
Norwich City | Draw | Rotherham United |
79.77% ( 0.23) | 13.63% ( -0.14) | 6.59% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 42.2% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.81% ( 0.38) | 38.19% ( -0.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.53% ( 0.4) | 60.47% ( -0.4) |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.43% ( 0.14) | 7.57% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.88% ( 0.35) | 27.12% ( -0.34) |
Rotherham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
45.65% ( 0.04) | 54.35% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12.52% ( 0.03) | 87.49% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Norwich City | Draw | Rotherham United |
2-0 @ 13.7% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 11.78% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 10.62% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 8.36% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 7.19% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 4.64% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 2.39% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.02) 6-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.23% Total : 79.76% | 1-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.49% Total : 13.63% | 0-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.11% Total : 6.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
18 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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