Championship | Gameweek 11
Oct 22, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Oxford Utd1 - 1Derby
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-1 West Brom
Saturday, October 19 at 12.30pm in Championship
Saturday, October 19 at 12.30pm in Championship
Goals
for
for
14
Last Game: Millwall 1-1 Derby
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in Championship
Goals
for
for
13
We said: Oxford United 2-1 Derby County
Considering the poor form of Derby on the road in the Championship, it would not be surprising if they struggled for large periods on Tuesday. However, Oxford have found it difficult to pick up wins recently, and the game could be low scoring. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 38.67%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oxford United | Draw | Derby County |
34.61% ( -0) | 26.72% | 38.67% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 51.68% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
