Brasileiro | Gameweek 28
Sep 28, 2024 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Brinco de Ouro da Princesa
Palmeiras2 - 1Atletico Mineiro
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Palmeiras and Atletico Mineiro.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Vasco 0-1 Palmeiras
Sunday, September 22 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, September 22 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
44
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-0 Fluminense
Wednesday, September 25 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, September 25 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 59.9%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 17.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.17%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for an Atletico Mineiro win it was 0-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
Result | ||
Palmeiras | Draw | Atletico Mineiro |
59.9% ( 0.02) | 22.5% ( -0.02) | 17.59% |
Both teams to score 49.07% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.89% ( 0.08) | 49.11% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.81% ( 0.07) | 71.18% ( -0.08) |
Palmeiras Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84% ( 0.03) | 16% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.68% ( 0.06) | 45.32% ( -0.07) |
Atletico Mineiro Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.42% ( 0.05) | 41.58% ( -0.05) |