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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 62.16%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 17.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.9%) and 1-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Stevenage win it was 1-2 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
Result | ||
Peterborough United | Draw | Stevenage |
62.16% ( -1.08) | 20.44% ( 0.48) | 17.4% ( 0.6) |
Both teams to score 55.44% ( -0.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.55% ( -1.17) | 40.45% ( 1.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.17% ( -1.22) | 62.83% ( 1.22) |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.51% ( -0.66) | 12.49% ( 0.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.54% ( -1.39) | 38.46% ( 1.39) |
Stevenage Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.35% ( -0.01) | 36.65% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.56% ( -0.02) | 73.43% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Peterborough United | Draw | Stevenage |
2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.9% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 3.59% ( -0.18) 4-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.12) 5-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.63% Total : 62.16% | 1-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.24) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.44% | 1-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 4.59% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.43% Total : 17.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 28 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
5 | Barnsley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 26 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Exeter CityExeter | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
11 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
18 | Blackpool | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |