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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Derby County win with a probability of 55.95%. A draw has a probability of 23.7% and a win for Stevenage has a probability of 20.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.25%), while for a Stevenage win it is 0-1 (6.5%).
Result | ||
Derby County | Draw | Stevenage |
55.95% ( 0.42) | 23.68% ( -0.09) | 20.38% ( -0.33) |
Both teams to score 50.21% ( -0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.98% ( -0.03) | 50.02% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28% ( -0.03) | 72% ( 0.03) |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.29% ( 0.15) | 17.71% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.63% ( 0.25) | 48.37% ( -0.25) |
Stevenage Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.03% ( -0.37) | 38.98% ( 0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.3% ( -0.34) | 75.7% ( 0.35) |
Score Analysis |
Derby County | Draw | Stevenage |
1-0 @ 11.94% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 10.34% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 5.62% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.51% Total : 55.94% | 1-1 @ 11.25% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.92% Total : 23.67% | 0-1 @ 6.5% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.43% Total : 20.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 42 |
3 | Wrexham | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 42 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 39 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 36 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 31 |
7 | Reading | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 31 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 31 |
9 | Barnsley | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 30 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 28 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 27 |
12 | Blackpool | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 27 |
14 | Stevenage | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 26 |
15 | Leyton Orient | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 25 |
16 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 24 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 24 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 23 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 22 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 12 |
> League One Full Table |