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Plymouth Argyle
Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Home Park
Preston North End logo

Plymouth
0 - 1
Preston


Miller (41'), Sousa (63')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Millar (43')
Keane (17'), McCann (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Preston North End, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackburn 1-1 Plymouth
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 1-2 Stoke
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Plymouth Argyle 1-2 Preston North End

While Plymouth would probably take another point, that is not the case with Preston who cannot afford more dropped points. With that in mind, we are backing the visitors to throw caution to the wind in the latter stages in order to secure a maximum return. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 38%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 36.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Preston North End would win this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawPreston North End
38% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 25.45% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 36.55% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Both teams to score 56.16% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.29% (0.018000000000001 0.02)47.71% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.1% (0.016999999999999 0.02)69.9% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.34% (0.0020000000000095 0)24.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.82% (0.0010000000000048 0)59.18% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.54% (0.019999999999996 0.02)25.46% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.71% (0.027000000000001 0.03)60.29% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 38%
    Preston North End 36.55%
    Draw 25.44%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawPreston North End
1-0 @ 8.79% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.42% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 6.15% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 3.93% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.87% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.69% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.38%
4-0 @ 1.01% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 38%
1-1 @ 12.02%
0-0 @ 6.28% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 5.76% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.44%
0-1 @ 8.59% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 8.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 5.88% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.75% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-3 @ 2.68% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.63% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.28% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 36.55%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Preston

Plymouth Argyle
Draw
Preston North End
Plymouth Argyle
42.9%
Draw
11.4%
Preston North End
45.7%
35
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Preston
2-1
Plymouth
Holmes (1'), Millar (25')
Ledson (22'), Holmes (32'), McCann (89')
Hardie (61')
Miller (19')
Mar 6, 2010 3pm
Plymouth
1-1
Preston
Johnson (71' pen.)
St Ledger-Hall (18')
Mawene (90'), Jones (90')
Dec 12, 2009 3pm
Feb 3, 2009 3pm
Oct 21, 2008 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds28178353193459
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd28186440182258
3Burnley28151123692756
4Sunderland28159440221854
5Middlesbrough28128846341244
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn28126103126542
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2891453324941
8Watford28125113939041
9Bristol City2891183533238
10Queens Park RangersQPR2891183235-338
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds28108104045-538
12Norwich CityNorwich2899104341236
13Coventry CityCoventry2898113737035
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2898113343-1035
15Swansea CitySwansea2897123135-434
16Preston North EndPreston2871383035-534
17Millwall27710102626031
18Portsmouth2778123546-1129
19Stoke CityStoke28610122636-1028
20Cardiff CityCardiff28610123143-1228
21Derby CountyDerby2876153138-727
22Hull City2868142738-1126
23Luton TownLuton2875162947-1826
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2849152560-3521


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