Porto4 - 0Estoril
Form, Standings, Stats
Thursday, October 31 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga
for
Saturday, October 26 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Porto 4-0 Estoril Praia
Porto's outstanding form this season should mean they come into Sunday's clash as strong favourites. Estoril have also been poor on the road, and it would not be surprising if they conceded multiple goals despite taking some confidence from their win last time out. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 76.33%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 8.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.41%) and 1-0 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.15%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (2.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-0 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Estoril Praia |
76.33% ( -0.51) | 15.07% ( 0.23) | 8.6% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 47.21% ( 0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.65% ( -0.07) | 37.35% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.43% ( -0.07) | 59.57% ( 0.07) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.87% ( -0.13) | 8.13% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 71.46% ( -0.32) | 28.53% ( 0.32) |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.39% ( 0.62) | 48.61% ( -0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 16.32% ( 0.44) | 83.68% ( -0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Porto | Draw | Estoril Praia |
| 2-0 @ 12.44% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 10.41% ( -0.16)1-0 @ 9.92% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 7.51% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 2.37% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.05)6-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.41% Total : 76.32% | 1-1 @ 7.15% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.73% Total : 15.07% | 0-1 @ 2.85% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.14% Total : 8.6% |
