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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Preston North End | Draw | Cardiff City |
42.4% ( -0) | 25.9% | 31.7% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 53.52% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.36% ( 0) | 50.63% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.46% ( 0) | 72.54% ( -0) |
Preston North End Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.29% ( -0) | 23.7% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.17% | 57.82% ( -0) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.14% ( 0) | 29.85% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.05% ( 0) | 65.94% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Preston North End | Draw | Cardiff City |
1-0 @ 10.18% 2-1 @ 8.86% 2-0 @ 7.33% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.25% 3-0 @ 3.52% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.57% 4-1 @ 1.53% 4-0 @ 1.27% 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.95% Total : 42.39% | 1-1 @ 12.31% 0-0 @ 7.08% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.9% | 0-1 @ 8.55% 1-2 @ 7.44% 0-2 @ 5.17% 1-3 @ 3% 2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.08% 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.38% Total : 31.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
> Championship Full Table |