Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11

Nov 3, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stade Municipal Georges Lefevre

PSG
3 - 0
Montpellier

Kang-in (10'), Zaire-Emery (58'), Vitinha (66')
Mukiele (82')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Brest 2-3 PSG
Sunday, October 29 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Montpellier HSC

All competitions

Last Game: Montpellier 3-0 Toulouse
Sunday, October 29 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 3-1 Montpellier HSC

Montpellier have kept their back door bolted shut more often than not in recent weeks, but over the past six years, PSG have always found a way through the Paillade backline on more than one occasion, and Friday's encounter should be no different. An in-form Adams is certainly capable of denying the hosts a fifth straight clean sheet at home, but Enrique's own effervescent forwards should fire their team to the top of the table - at least temporarily - on Friday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 62.52%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 17.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 1-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Montpellier HSC
62.52% ( 0.02)	20.06% ( -0.01)	17.41% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 56.82% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.34% (

0.02)

38.65% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.04% (

0.02)

60.96% (

-0.02)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.16% (

0.01)

11.84% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.9% (

0.02)

37.09% (

-0.02)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.45%

35.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.69%

72.31%

Score Analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 62.52%

Montpellier HSC 17.41%

Draw 20.06%

Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Montpellier HSC
2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.58% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.98% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.05% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.81% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.76% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.65% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.64% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.95% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.61% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.55% ( 0) Other @ 4.05% Total : 62.52%	1-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.13% 0-0 @ 4.21% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.19% Total : 20.06%	1-2 @ 4.8% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.35% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.25% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.77% 1-3 @ 1.66% ( -0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 17.41%