Copa Sudamericana | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Sep 27, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Presidente Juan Domingo Peron
Racing4 - 1Athletico PR
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Talleres 2-0 Racing
Sunday, September 22 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, September 22 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
44
Last Game: Criciuma 0-0 Athletico PR
Monday, September 23 at 12am in Brasileiro
Monday, September 23 at 12am in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
27
We said: Racing Club 1-1 Athletico Paranaense
Atletico Paranaense have their sights fixed on the Copa Sudamericana as they look to make up for their underwhelming domestic campaign. However, Gonzalez's men take on a Racing side who have been tough to crack at home and will be looking to find their feet after a difficult few weeks. While we expect Racing to go all out at the Estadio Presidente Peron, we predict that Paranaense will do just enough to frustrate the hosts and hold out for a share of the spoils to win the tie on aggregate. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 47.26%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 26.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.54%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.
Result | ||
Racing Club | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
47.26% ( 0.07) | 26.56% ( -0.03) | 26.18% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 48.27% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.12% ( 0.06) | 55.87% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.01% ( 0.05) | 76.98% ( -0.05) |
Racing Club Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.35% ( 0.06) | 23.65% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.25% ( 0.09) | 57.75% ( -0.09) |
Athletico Paranaense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.22% ( -0) | 36.77% ( 0) |