MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 03:39:40| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Sep 28, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Augsburg logo

RB Leipzig
4 - 0
Augsburg

Sesko (11', 15'), Openda (46'), Simons (57')
Seiwald (42')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Onyeka (78'), Matsima (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Pauli 0-0 RB Leipzig
Sunday, September 22 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 2-3 Mainz
Friday, September 20 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: RB Leipzig 1-0 Augsburg

While Leipzig have been poor in front of goal this season, it would be surprising if they failed to score for a third consecutive league match. Considering Augsburg's worrying top-flight record recently, they could struggle to get back into the game if the hosts were to score first. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 59.11%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 20.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 1-0 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawAugsburg
59.11% (0.030999999999999 0.03) 20.88% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 20.01% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Both teams to score 58.87% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.74% (0.051000000000002 0.05)38.26% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.47% (0.055000000000007 0.06)60.54% (-0.055 -0.05)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.33% (0.024000000000001 0.02)12.67% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.15% (0.051000000000002 0.05)38.85% (-0.052 -0.05)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.42% (0.015000000000001 0.02)32.59% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.88% (0.016000000000002 0.02)69.13% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 59.11%
    Augsburg 20.01%
    Draw 20.88%
RB LeipzigDrawAugsburg
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 8.81% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-0 @ 8.53% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.8% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 6.07% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.81% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 3.51% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.13% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.97% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.45% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.3% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 59.11%
1-1 @ 9.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.54% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.13% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.43% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 20.88%
1-2 @ 5.36% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 4.63% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.6% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 20.01%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Augsburg

RB Leipzig
92.6%
Draw
4.9%
Augsburg
2.5%
81
Head to Head
Feb 10, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 21
Augsburg
2-2
RB Leipzig
Tietz (35'), Demirovic (60')
Gouweleeuw (55'), Jakic (64'), Vargas (70'), Dahmen (81'), Mbabu (90+5')
Openda (39'), Sesko (52')
Raum (73')
Sep 16, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
RB Leipzig
3-0
Augsburg
Simons (6'), Openda (11'), Raum (27')
Apr 15, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 28
RB Leipzig
3-2
Augsburg
Kampl (10'), Werner (32', 35')
Maier (5'), Vargas (82')
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Augsburg
3-3
RB Leipzig
Berisha (34' pen.), Demirovic (51'), Vargas (64')
Silva (73'), Nkunku (89'), Novoa (90')
May 8, 2022 6.30pm
Gameweek 33
RB Leipzig
4-0
Augsburg
Silva (40'), Nkunku (48', 57'), Forsberg (64' pen.)
Forsberg (36')

Gouweleeuw (72'), Gunther (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern19153158164248
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen19126146262042
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt19114444261837
4Stuttgart199553628832
5RB Leipzig199553429532
6Mainz 05Mainz1994633231031
7Wolfsburg198474234828
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach198383029127
9Werder Bremen197663336-327
10Freiburg198382636-1027
11Borussia DortmundDortmund197573433126
12Augsburg197482334-1125
13St Pauli1962111721-420
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin195591627-1120
15Hoffenheim194692537-1218
16Heidenheim1942132440-1614
17Holstein Kiel1933132848-2012
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1924131743-2610


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