We said: Roma 2-2 AC Milan
These clubs won one of their final five games in Serie A, and neither has any form of momentum heading into the post-season friendly.
With little on the line in Perth, we should see lots of entertainment at both ends, with both sides finding the back of the net in a high-scoring draw.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 35.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.