Serie A | Gameweek 33
Apr 21, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Arechi
We said: Salernitana 1-1 Fiorentina
No Serie A side has scored fewer away goals than Fiorentina in 2024, and only one has earned fewer points on the road. While Salernitana are so often shoddy at the back, the Viola may not be best placed to capitalise - particularly with one eye on an upcoming cup semi-final.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 58.74% . A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 18.73% .
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.49% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.58%) and 1-2 (9.87%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%) , while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (5.82%) . The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
Result Salernitana Draw Fiorentina 18.73% ( 0.72) 22.54% ( 0.09) 58.74% ( -0.81)
Both teams to score 51.03% ( 1)
52.44% ( 0.68) 47.57% ( -0.67)
30.23% ( 0.62) 69.77% ( -0.62)
60.65% ( 1.22) 39.35% ( -1.21)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 23.95% ( 1.12) 76.05% ( -1.11)
84.14% ( -0.04) 15.86% ( 0.04)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 54.94% ( -0.07) 45.07% ( 0.07)
Salernitana 18.73%
Fiorentina 58.74%
Draw 22.53%
Salernitana Draw Fiorentina 1-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 5% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.21% Total : 18.73% 1-1 @ 10.71% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.98% Total : 22.53% 0-1 @ 11.49% ( -0.34) 0-2 @ 10.58% ( -0.32) 1-2 @ 9.87% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 6.49% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 6.06% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.99% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 2.79% 2-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.04) 0-5 @ 1.1% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.22% Total : 58.74%
How you voted: Salernitana vs Fiorentina
Salernitana
Draw
Fiorentina
33
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-02 05:01:22 Result
Sinner Auger-Aliassime
(ret.)
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