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Serie A
Salernitana
Serie A | Gameweek 33
Apr 21, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Arechi
Fiorentina logo

Salernitana
0 - 2
Fiorentina


Basic (45'), Candreva (60')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kouame (80'), Ikone (90+5')
Lopez (18'), Sottil (45'), Ranieri (47'), Martinez (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Salernitana and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Salernitana

All competitions
Last Game: Lazio 4-1 Salernitana
Friday, April 12 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Fiorentina

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-0 Plzen
Thursday, April 18 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Salernitana 1-1 Fiorentina

 No Serie A side has scored fewer away goals than Fiorentina in 2024, and only one has earned fewer points on the road. While Salernitana are so often shoddy at the back, the Viola may not be best placed to capitalise - particularly with one eye on an upcoming cup semi-final. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 58.74%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 18.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.58%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
SalernitanaDrawFiorentina
18.73% (0.716 0.72) 22.54% (0.091000000000001 0.09) 58.74% (-0.805 -0.81)
Both teams to score 51.03% (1.001 1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.44% (0.678 0.68)47.57% (-0.675 -0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.23% (0.624 0.62)69.77% (-0.622 -0.62)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.65% (1.217 1.22)39.35% (-1.214 -1.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.95% (1.115 1.12)76.05% (-1.113 -1.11)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.14% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)15.86% (0.038 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.94% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)45.07% (0.071000000000005 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Salernitana 18.73%
    Fiorentina 58.74%
    Draw 22.53%
SalernitanaDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 5.82% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 5% (0.181 0.18)
2-0 @ 2.72% (0.102 0.1)
3-1 @ 1.55% (0.105 0.11)
3-2 @ 1.43% (0.095 0.1)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 18.73%
1-1 @ 10.71% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.24% (-0.177 -0.18)
2-2 @ 4.6% (0.161 0.16)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 22.53%
0-1 @ 11.49% (-0.34 -0.34)
0-2 @ 10.58% (-0.32 -0.32)
1-2 @ 9.87% (0.025 0.03)
0-3 @ 6.49% (-0.211 -0.21)
1-3 @ 6.06% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.99% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.82% (0.095 0.09)
1-4 @ 2.79%
2-4 @ 1.3% (0.042 0.04)
0-5 @ 1.1% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-5 @ 1.03% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 58.74%

How you voted: Salernitana vs Fiorentina

Salernitana
27.3%
Draw
21.2%
Fiorentina
51.5%
33
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 14
Fiorentina
3-0
Salernitana
Beltran (6' pen.), Sottil (17'), Bonaventura (56')
Ranieri (44')
> Preview
May 3, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 33
Salernitana
3-3
Fiorentina
Dia (10', 59', 81' pen.)
Gonzalez (36'), Ikone (71'), Biraghi (84')
> Preview
Nov 9, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Fiorentina
2-1
Salernitana
Bonaventura (15'), Jovic (81')
Dia (55')
> Preview
Apr 24, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 34
Salernitana
2-1
Fiorentina
Djuric (9'), Bonazzoli (79')
Gyomber (22')
Saponara (64')
Milenkovic (82')
> Preview
Dec 11, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 17
Fiorentina
4-0
Salernitana
Bonaventura (31'), Vlahovic (51', 84'), Maleh (90')
Milenkovic (11')

Kastanos (20')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta18132343202341
2Napoli18132327121541
3Inter Milan17124145153040
4Lazio1811253325835
5Fiorentina1795331151632
6Juventus18711030151532
7Bologna177732521428
8AC Milan177642617927
9Udinese187382328-524
10Roma185582424020
11Torino185581924-520
12Empoli184771721-419
13Genoa184771627-1119
14Parma184682534-918
15Como184682030-1018
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1860122442-1818
17Lecce1844101131-2016
18CagliariCagliari1835101631-1514
19VeneziaVenezia1834111731-1413
20Monza1817101625-910
> Serie A Full Table


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