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FA Cup
Salford City
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
Moor Lane
Shrewsbury Town

Salford City
2 - 1
Shrewsbury

Lund (5', 42')
Mnoga (16'), Ashley (45+1')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Marquis (15')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Salford City and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Salford City

All competitions
Last Game: Fleetwood 2-2 Salford City
Tuesday, October 29 at 7.45pm in League Two

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-2 Barnsley
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League One

We said: Salford City 2-1 Shrewsbury Town

 Both teams will view Saturday's fixture as a good opportunity to come out on top and progress to the next round. Although Shrewsbury are a division above Salford, the League One outfit are in a spell of poor form at present and the Ammies could capitalise on that in front of their own supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 43.2%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Salford City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Salford City.

Result
Salford CityDrawShrewsbury Town
43.2% (0.093000000000004 0.09) 25.06% (0.011000000000003 0.01) 31.75% (-0.104 -0.1)
Both teams to score 56.35% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.03% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08)46.97% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.79% (-0.073 -0.07)69.22% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.26% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)21.74% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.08% (0.014000000000003 0.01)54.92% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)28% (0.103 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.36% (-0.133 -0.13)63.64% (0.131 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Salford City 43.2%
    Shrewsbury Town 31.75%
    Draw 25.05%
Salford CityDrawShrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 9.29% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.02% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.09% (0.027 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.59% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.61% (0.015 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.75% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.38% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 43.2%
1-1 @ 11.82% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.09% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.74% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.05%
0-1 @ 7.75% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 7.53% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.93% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.19% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.09% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.02% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 31.75%

How you voted: Salford City vs Shrewsbury

Salford City
66.7%
Draw
33.3%
Shrewsbury Town
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Nov 21, 2018 7.45pm
First Round Replays
Salford City
1-3
Shrewsbury
Rooney (77')
Piergianni (60'), Pond (66')
Okenabirhie (33', 90'), Docherty (63')
Norburn (30'), Beckles (35'), Okenabirhie (90')
Nov 11, 2018 12.45pm
First Round
Shrewsbury
1-1
Salford City
Norburn (25')
Waterfall (63')
Rooney (27')
Politic (10')
rhs 2.0
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1Liverpool18143145172845
2Arsenal19116238172139
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest1911442619737
4Chelsea19105438231535
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle1995532211132
6Manchester CityMan City199463226631
7Bournemouth198652923630
8Fulham197842825329
9Aston Villa198562831-329
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton196942928127
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1973941281324
12Brentford197393335-224
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham196582335-1223
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd196492126-522
15Crystal Palace194872027-720
16Everton183871524-917
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1944113142-1116
18Ipswich TownIpswich1936101833-1515
19Leicester CityLeicester1935112242-2014
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