Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 41.72%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 30.25% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 1-0 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Santa Clara | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
30.25% ( -0.21) | 28.03% ( -0.02) | 41.72% ( 0.23) |
Both teams to score 46.54% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.72% ( -0.01) | 59.28% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.31% ( -0.01) | 79.68% ( 0.01) |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.64% ( -0.17) | 35.36% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.88% ( -0.17) | 72.12% ( 0.17) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.99% ( 0.12) | 28.01% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.35% ( 0.15) | 63.65% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Santa Clara | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 10.29% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 6.81% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.35% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 2.36% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.08% Total : 30.25% | 1-1 @ 13.1% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.9% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.03% | 0-1 @ 12.6% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.34% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 8.02% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.54% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.77% Total : 41.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 51 | 14 | 37 | 44 |
2 | Benfica | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 11 | 31 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 40 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 31 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Casa Pia | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 24 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 22 |
9 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 21 |
10 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 20 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 20 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
13 | Nacional | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 16 |
15 | AroucaArouca | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 16 |
16 | AVS | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 14 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |