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Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Millwall logo

Swansea
0 - 1
Millwall


Cullen (60')
FT(HT: 0-0)
De Norre (90+1')
Wintle (40'), Esse (42'), Tanganga (89'), Ivanovic (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-0 Swansea
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Plymouth
Wednesday, October 23 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-1 Millwall

Everything points to this contest being a low-scoring affair, unless Swansea finally find their shooting boots. We feel obliged to back a share of the spoils, one that will not necessarily suit either side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 48.25%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 24.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
Swansea CityDrawMillwall
48.25%27.49% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 24.26% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Both teams to score 44.14% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.62% (0.033999999999999 0.03)60.38% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.47% (0.026 0.03)80.52% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.83% (0.015000000000001 0.02)25.17% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.11% (0.021999999999998 0.02)59.89% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.98% (0.027999999999999 0.03)41.01% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.43% (0.024000000000001 0.02)77.57% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 48.25%
    Millwall 24.26%
    Draw 27.49%
Swansea CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 14.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.82% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 8.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.52%
3-1 @ 4.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.56% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.39% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 48.25%
1-1 @ 12.69%
0-0 @ 10.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.9% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 27.49%
0-1 @ 9.2% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.66% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 4.1% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 1.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.22% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.16% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 24.26%

How you voted: Swansea vs Millwall

Swansea City
35.4%
Draw
47.9%
Millwall
16.7%
48
Head to Head
May 4, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Swansea
0-1
Millwall

Abdulai (90')
Tanganga (84')
De Norre (72')
Cooper (65'), McNamara (90')
Yates (85')
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Millwall
0-3
Swansea

Cooper (22'), Longman (45+3')
Lowe (23' pen.), Grimes (57'), Kukharevych (79')
Rushworth (66'), Cabango (73')
Mar 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Millwall
2-1
Swansea
Bradshaw (48'), Voglsammer (55')
Manning (58')
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Swansea
2-2
Millwall
Manning (1'), Obafemi (12')
Manning (73'), Obafemi (90+1')
Cabango (90+3' og.), Wood (90+5' og.)
Burey (39'), Mitchell (42'), Malone (65')
Apr 5, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Millwall
0-1
Swansea

Ballard (82')
Piroe (46')
Grimes (22'), Latibeaudiere (49')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Portsmouth2458113041-1123
23Hull City2658132536-1123
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


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