Toluca

1 - 0

Santos Laguna

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 63.27%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 18.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.87%) and 3-1 (7.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8%), while for a Santos Laguna win it was 1-2 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.