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Bundesliga | Gameweek 12
Nov 30, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
Leverkusen logo

Union Berlin
1 - 2
B. Leverkusen

Woo-yeong (29')
Rothe (28'), Querfeld (63'), Trimmel (67'), Mukiele (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Frimpong (2'), Schick (71')
Andrich (21'), Skov (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, November 23 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 5-0 Salzburg
Tuesday, November 26 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Union Berlin 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen

 Following their resounding victory in the Champions League, Leverkusen will come into Saturday's match full of confidence. Though Union Berlin boast a strong home record, the visitors have also been resilient on the road, and it would not be surprising if they claimed all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 55.02%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 22.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.85%) and 0-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 1-0 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bayer Leverkusen.

Result
Union BerlinDrawBayer Leverkusen
22.07% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05) 22.9% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 55.02% (0.073 0.07)
Both teams to score 55.09% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.26% (0.072000000000003 0.07)44.74% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.9% (0.069000000000003 0.07)67.1% (-0.070000000000007 -0.07)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.7% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)34.3% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.99% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)71.01% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.86% (0.051999999999992 0.05)16.14% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.42% (0.091999999999999 0.09)45.57% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 22.07%
    Bayer Leverkusen 55.01%
    Draw 22.9%
Union BerlinDrawBayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 5.92% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-1 @ 5.78% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.17% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.88% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.13% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 22.07%
1-1 @ 10.8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.54% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.9%
0-1 @ 10.09% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 9.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 5.99% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 5.6% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.21% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.73% (0.011 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.55% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.46% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
1-5 @ 1% (0.005 0.01)
0-5 @ 0.93% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 55.01%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs B. Leverkusen

Union Berlin
9.0%
Draw
16.0%
Bayer Leverkusen
75.0%
100
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 28
Union Berlin
0-1
B. Leverkusen

Gosens (9'), Tousart (37')
Gosens (45+3')
Wirtz (45+8' pen.)
Adli (64'), Andrich (82')
> Preview
Nov 12, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
B. Leverkusen
4-0
Union Berlin
Grimaldo (23'), Odilon (57'), Tah (73'), Tella (83')

Ronnow (74')
> Preview
Apr 29, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 30
Union Berlin
0-0
B. Leverkusen
> Preview
Nov 6, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 13
B. Leverkusen
5-0
Union Berlin
Andrich (46'), Diaby (56', 58'), Hlozek (68'), Bakker (76')
> Preview
Jan 8, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
B. Leverkusen
2-2
Union Berlin
Schick (38'), Tah (84')
Tah (59')
Promel (45', 50')
Trimmel (31'), Friedrich (85')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Borussia DortmundDortmund157442822625
7Werder Bremen157442625125
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
9Freiburg157352124-324
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg156363228421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1531111833-1510
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1513111335-226
> Bundesliga Full Table


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