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Vancouver Whitecaps
Major League Soccer
Sep 29, 2024 at 3.30am UK
BC Place Stadium
Portland Timbers

Vancouver
1 - 1
Portland

White (3')
Schopf (39')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Rodriguez (43')
Miller (10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Vancouver Whitecaps and Portland Timbers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: LA Galaxy 4-2 Vancouver
Sunday, September 22 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 3-3 Portland
Sunday, September 22 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Vancouver Whitecaps 2-1 Portland Timbers

Being deprived of one of the top chance creators in the league (Evander) is a big blow for the visitors, and although Vancouver may be a little fatigued from their midweek affair, we believe they can find a way past a Timbers unit that leave plenty of space in behind. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 59.1%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 19.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 1-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 1-2 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawPortland Timbers
59.1% (1.033 1.03) 21.24% (-0.294 -0.29) 19.66% (-0.738 -0.74)
Both teams to score 57.01% (-0.22499999999999 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.56% (0.288 0.29)40.43% (-0.286 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.19% (0.295 0.3)62.81% (-0.294 -0.29)
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.63% (0.407 0.41)13.37% (-0.407 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.73% (0.813 0.81)40.27% (-0.812 -0.81)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.8% (-0.571 -0.57)34.19% (0.572 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.11% (-0.615 -0.61)70.89% (0.616 0.62)
Score Analysis
    Vancouver Whitecaps 59.1%
    Portland Timbers 19.66%
    Draw 21.24%
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawPortland Timbers
2-1 @ 9.93% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.26% (0.155 0.16)
1-0 @ 9.2% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.66% (0.108 0.11)
3-0 @ 6.21% (0.195 0.2)
3-2 @ 3.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 3.35% (0.104 0.1)
4-0 @ 3.12% (0.143 0.14)
4-2 @ 1.8% (0.028 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.35% (0.061 0.06)
5-0 @ 1.26% (0.075 0.08)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 59.1%
1-1 @ 9.87% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-2 @ 5.33% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
0-0 @ 4.57% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.24%
1-2 @ 5.3% (-0.157 -0.16)
0-1 @ 4.91% (-0.143 -0.14)
0-2 @ 2.63% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.89% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-3 @ 0.94% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 19.66%

How you voted: Vancouver vs Portland

Vancouver Whitecaps
75.0%
Draw
25.0%
Portland Timbers
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Jun 23, 2024 3.30am
Portland
2-0
Vancouver
Rodriguez (26'), Mora (43')
Ayala (55')

Schopf (34'), Blackmon (39'), Berhalter (60'), Martins (90+1')
Schopf (52')
Mar 31, 2024 3.30am
Vancouver
3-2
Portland
Gauld (2'), Picault (29'), Raposo (87')
Cubas (51'), Adekugbe (90')
Evander (52'), Mora (77')
Aug 27, 2023 3.30am
Portland
2-3
Vancouver
Mora (53'), Evander (85')
Evander (34'), Zuparic (51'), Asprilla (63'), Boli (90+4')
Gauld (13', 60'), White (36')
Cubas (65'), Laryea (90+5'), Takaoka (90+8')
May 14, 2023 3.30am
Portland
3-1
Vancouver
Boli (2'), Evander (18', 54')
McGraw (24' og.)
Apr 9, 2023 3.30am
rhs 2.0
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