Primeira Liga | Gameweek 3
Aug 27, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 2-1 Vizela
Guimaraes have contended with managerial uncertainty to win their opening two league games, and with a new head coach now in place, we think that they will maintain their 100% start to the season by claiming a narrow win over Vizela.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 46.82% . A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 26.59% .
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.92%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%) , while for a Vizela win it was 0-1 (8.76%) . The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.
Result Vitoria de Guimaraes Draw Vizela 46.82% ( 0.07) 26.6% ( -0.04) 26.59% ( -0.03)
Both teams to score 48.48% ( 0.08)
44.24% ( 0.11) 55.76% ( -0.11)
23.1% ( 0.09) 76.9% ( -0.09)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
76.19% ( 0.08) 23.81% ( -0.08)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 42.02% ( 0.11) 57.98% ( -0.11)
63.63% ( 0.04) 36.37% ( -0.04)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 26.84% ( 0.04) 73.16% ( -0.04)
Vitoria de Guimaraes 46.81%
Vizela 26.59%
Draw 26.59%
Vitoria de Guimaraes Draw Vizela 1-0 @ 12.42% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.92% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.27% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 46.81% 1-1 @ 12.56% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.81% Total : 26.59% 0-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.36% 0-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.14% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0) Other @ 1.87% Total : 26.59%
How you voted: Guimaraes vs Vizela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Draw
Vizela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
90.0%
20
rhs 2.0
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