Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 36.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.53%) and 0-2 (5.37%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.