Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sydney FC win with a probability of 53.51%. A win for Wellington Phoenix has a probability of 24.94% and a draw has a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (7.22%) and 0-1 (7.17%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win is 2-1 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.47%).
Result | ||
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Sydney FC |
24.94% ( -2.65) | 21.54% ( -0.68) | 53.51% ( 3.32) |
Both teams to score 63.54% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.77% ( 0.91) | 35.22% ( -0.91) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.76% ( 1.01) | 57.24% ( -1.01) |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.32% ( -1.38) | 26.67% ( 1.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.07% ( -1.86) | 61.93% ( 1.86) |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.66% ( 1.38) | 13.34% ( -1.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.79% ( 2.72) | 40.21% ( -2.72) |
Score Analysis |
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Sydney FC |
2-1 @ 6.26% ( -0.48) 1-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.42) 2-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.41) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 2.76% ( -0.33) 3-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.24) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.15% Total : 24.95% | 1-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 3.56% ( -0.17) 3-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.35% Total : 21.54% | 1-2 @ 9.54% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 7.22% ( 0.39) 0-1 @ 7.17% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 6.41% ( 0.41) 0-3 @ 4.85% ( 0.48) 2-3 @ 4.23% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 3.23% ( 0.35) 0-4 @ 2.44% ( 0.35) 2-4 @ 2.13% ( 0.16) 1-5 @ 1.3% ( 0.2) 0-5 @ 0.98% ( 0.18) 3-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.07% Total : 53.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 24 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 24 |
3 | Auckland FC | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 23 |
4 | Macarthur | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 21 |
5 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 20 |
7 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 19 |
8 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 15 |
9 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
10 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 13 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 10 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 33 | -25 | 8 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 27 | -15 | 2 |
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