Australian A-League | Gameweek 16
Feb 10, 2024 at 4.45am UK
Wellington Regional Stadium
Wellington2 - 0Western Utd
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Western United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Wellington 0-0 Central Coast
Tuesday, February 6 at 3am in Australian A-League
Tuesday, February 6 at 3am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
26
Last Game: Western Utd 2-2 Sydney FC
Saturday, February 3 at 6am in Australian A-League
Saturday, February 3 at 6am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
13
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 41.68%. A win for Western United had a probability of 35.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.73%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wellington Phoenix would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Western United |
41.68% ( -0.28) | 23.26% ( 0.27) | 35.05% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 63.93% ( -1.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
