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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 57.51%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 20.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Blackburn Rovers win it was 1-2 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.
Result | ||
West Bromwich Albion | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
57.51% ( -0.11) | 21.56% ( 0.03) | 20.92% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 57.98% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.88% ( -0.05) | 40.12% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.51% ( -0.05) | 62.49% ( 0.05) |
West Bromwich Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.25% ( -0.05) | 13.75% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.97% ( -0.1) | 41.03% ( 0.1) |
Blackburn Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.22% ( 0.04) | 32.78% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.66% ( 0.04) | 69.34% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
West Bromwich Albion | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.94% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.55% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.65% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.33% Total : 57.51% | 1-1 @ 9.97% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.56% | 1-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.03% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.37% Total : 20.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 31 | 12 | 19 | 35 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 35 |
3 | Burnley | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 33 |
4 | Sunderland | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 33 |
5 | Watford | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 29 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 27 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 17 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 27 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 25 |
9 | Millwall | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 22 |
12 | Bristol City | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 22 |
13 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 22 |
14 | Stoke CityStoke | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
15 | Derby CountyDerby | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 20 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 17 |
19 | Preston North EndPreston | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
20 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 17 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 15 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
24 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
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