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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Wigan Athletic | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
40.63% ( 0.26) | 24.41% ( -0) | 34.96% ( -0.25) |
Both teams to score 59.62% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.86% ( -0.04) | 43.14% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.46% ( -0.04) | 65.53% ( 0.04) |
Wigan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.69% ( 0.1) | 21.31% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.74% ( 0.16) | 54.25% ( -0.16) |
Fleetwood Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.77% ( -0.16) | 24.23% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.43% ( -0.23) | 58.57% ( 0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Wigan Athletic | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
2-1 @ 8.75% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.64% Total : 40.63% | 1-1 @ 11.31% 2-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.41% | 1-2 @ 8.02% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.79% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.87% Total : 34.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 28 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
5 | Barnsley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 26 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Exeter CityExeter | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
11 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
18 | Blackpool | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |