MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 05:14:38| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lens logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 6
Sep 28, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade Ferdi Petit
Nice

Lens
0 - 0
Nice


Frankowski (53'), Zaroury (67'), Still (84')
Zaroury (84')
FT

Abdelmonem (28'), Dante (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rennes 1-1 Lens
Saturday, September 21 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 1-1 Real Sociedad
Wednesday, September 25 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Lens 0-0 Nice

Lens' run of draws will not go on forever, but the likeliest outcome is a fourth-straight stalemate here, with little to separate the sides, and the hosts performing very impressively in defence of late. Unfortunately for Nice, they cannot play Saint Etienne every week, and they will find it difficult to break down a side yet to concede a home goal this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 50.37%. A win for Nice had a probability of 25.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-0 draw for this match.

Result
LensDrawNice
50.37% (-0.122 -0.12) 24.53% (0.131 0.13) 25.1% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 53.4% (-0.434 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.31% (-0.567 -0.57)48.69% (0.564 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.2% (-0.517 -0.52)70.8% (0.512 0.51)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.65% (-0.27200000000001 -0.27)19.34% (0.265 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.87% (-0.446 -0.45)51.12% (0.44 0.44)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.2% (-0.31800000000001 -0.32)33.79% (0.313 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.54% (-0.346 -0.35)70.46% (0.342 0.34)
Score Analysis
    Lens 50.36%
    Nice 25.1%
    Draw 24.53%
LensDrawNice
1-0 @ 10.73% (0.15 0.15)
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.82% (0.055 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.24% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.83% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.84% (-0.055 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.15% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.98% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 50.36%
1-1 @ 11.65% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 6.54% (0.15 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.19% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.53%
0-1 @ 7.09% (0.104 0.1)
1-2 @ 6.32% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.85% (0.023 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.29% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.39% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 25.1%

How you voted: Lens vs Nice

Lens
35.1%
Draw
45.9%
Nice
18.9%
37
Head to Head
Mar 16, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 26
Lens
1-3
Nice
Wahi (76')
Aguilar (37'), Frankowski (62'), Khusanov (65'), Thomasson (89')
Moffi (11', 67'), Thuram (53')
Thuram (40'), Perraud (46'), Rosario (78')
Dec 20, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 17
Nice
2-0
Lens
Moffi (76' pen., 78')
Lotomba (26'), Dante (90+5')

Khusanov (88'), Guilavogui (90+7')
Feb 1, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 21
Lens
0-1
Nice
Laborde (57')
Dec 29, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 16
Nice
0-0
Lens
Apr 10, 2022 4.05pm
Gameweek 31
Lens
3-0
Nice
Kalimuendo (51', 67'), Doucoure (55')
Haise (18'), Doucoure (31'), Sotoca (66')
Haidara (17')

Guessand (38'), Gouiri (45+3'), Lemina (50')
Lemina (57'), Dante (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG15114040122837
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1593324121230
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239


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