Ligue 1 | Gameweek 6
Sep 28, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade Ferdi Petit
We said: Lens 0-0 Nice
Lens' run of draws will not go on forever, but the likeliest outcome is a fourth-straight stalemate here, with little to separate the sides, and the hosts performing very impressively in defence of late.
Unfortunately for Nice, they cannot play Saint Etienne every week, and they will find it difficult to break down a side yet to concede a home goal this season.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 50.37% . A win for Nice had a probability of 25.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.5% .
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.82%) . The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (7.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%) . The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-0 draw for this match.
Result Lens Draw Nice 50.37% ( -0.12) 24.53% ( 0.13) 25.1% ( -0.02)
Both teams to score 53.4% ( -0.43)
51.31% ( -0.57) 48.69% ( 0.56)
29.2% ( -0.52) 70.8% ( 0.51)
80.65% ( -0.27) 19.34% ( 0.27)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 48.87% ( -0.45) 51.12% ( 0.44)
66.2% ( -0.32) 33.79% ( 0.31)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 29.54% ( -0.35) 70.46% ( 0.34)
Lens 50.36%
Nice 25.1%
Draw 24.53%
Lens Draw Nice 1-0 @ 10.73% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.24% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 4.83% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.02% Total : 50.36% 1-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.53% 0-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0) Other @ 2.29% Total : 25.1%
How you voted: Lens vs Nice
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rhs 2.0
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