We said: Nice 1-0 Real Sociedad
After hitting Saint-Etienne for eight on the weekend, Nice should be very confident of getting their Europa League campaign off to a positive start on Wednesday night.
Failing to win any of their last five matches in La Liga, Real Sociedad are in an early-season rut and look set for a difficult evening at Allianz Riviera.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 44.33%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 27.86% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.69%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.