Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 48.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 25.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lorient | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
48.81% ( -0.49) | 25.74% ( 0.14) | 25.45% ( 0.35) |
Both teams to score 50.02% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.71% ( -0.29) | 53.28% ( 0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.16% ( -0.25) | 74.84% ( 0.25) |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.15% ( -0.33) | 21.85% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.92% ( -0.51) | 55.08% ( 0.51) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.01% ( 0.14) | 35.99% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.23% ( 0.15) | 72.77% ( -0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Lorient | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
1-0 @ 11.96% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 9.1% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.26% Total : 48.81% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0) Other @ 0.91% Total : 25.74% | 0-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.92% Total : 25.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 17 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 46 | 15 | 31 | 43 |
2 | Marseille | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 36 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 31 |
4 | Nice | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 30 |
5 | Lille | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 29 |
6 | Lyon | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 28 |
7 | Lens | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 27 |
8 | Toulouse | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 24 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 23 |
10 | Auxerre | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 22 |
11 | Brest | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Reims | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 20 |
13 | Angers | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Rennes | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
15 | NantesNantes | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 37 | -21 | 16 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 17 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 13 | 36 | -23 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |