MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 04:47:32| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
AC Ajaccio
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 38
Jun 3, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Francois Coty
Marseille

Ajaccio
1 - 0
Marseille

Vidal (88')
Soumano (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Balerdi (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Ajaccio and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lens 3-0 Ajaccio
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 1-2 Brest
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Ajaccio 0-3 Marseille

Ajaccio are going down with an almighty whimper and have suffered numerous heavy defeats in recent weeks. Despite some poor form of their own recently, Marseille should have more than enough to get the job done comfortably in Corsica. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 68.36%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 11.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.18%) and 0-3 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 1-0 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
AjaccioDrawMarseille
11.39% (-0.981 -0.98) 20.25% (-0.215 -0.22) 68.36% (1.199 1.2)
Both teams to score 40.78% (-2.229 -2.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.05% (-1.364 -1.36)51.95% (1.365 1.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.31% (-1.191 -1.19)73.69% (1.193 1.19)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.55% (-2.561 -2.56)52.45% (2.564 2.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.7% (-1.715 -1.72)86.3% (1.717 1.72)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.78% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)14.22% (0.065 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.05% (-0.123 -0.12)41.95% (0.125 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Ajaccio 11.39%
    Marseille 68.34%
    Draw 20.25%
AjaccioDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 4.81% (-0.098 -0.1)
2-1 @ 3.03% (-0.31 -0.31)
2-0 @ 1.55% (-0.154 -0.15)
Other @ 2%
Total : 11.39%
1-1 @ 9.39% (-0.213 -0.21)
0-0 @ 7.46% (0.397 0.4)
2-2 @ 2.95% (-0.309 -0.31)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 20.25%
0-1 @ 14.54% (0.74 0.74)
0-2 @ 14.18% (0.69 0.69)
0-3 @ 9.23% (0.429 0.43)
1-2 @ 9.16% (-0.23 -0.23)
1-3 @ 5.95% (-0.164 -0.16)
0-4 @ 4.5% (0.199 0.2)
1-4 @ 2.9% (-0.087 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.92% (-0.206 -0.21)
0-5 @ 1.76% (0.074 0.07)
1-5 @ 1.13% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 68.34%

How you voted: Ajaccio vs Marseille

Ajaccio
9.7%
Draw
12.9%
Marseille
77.4%
31
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 4pm
gameweek 10
Marseille
1-2
Ajaccio
Payet (15' pen.)
Moussiti-Oko (25'), Balerdi (47' og.)
Apr 4, 2014 7.30pm
Marseille
3-1
Ajaccio
Ayew (4', 60', 77')
Morel (90')
Tallo (62')
Nov 22, 2013 7.30pm
Ajaccio
1-3
Marseille
Perozo (31')
Cavalli (18'), Pierazzi (49'), Perozo (53'), Demba Camara (84')
Payet (27'), Gignac (39'), Thauvin (58')
Thauvin (18')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG18144048163246
2Marseille18114340211937
3Lille1888228171132
4MonacoMonaco189452920931
5Nice1886436251130
6Lyon188552922729
7Lens187652218427
8Toulouse187471919025
9Brest188192831-325
10StrasbourgStrasbourg186663130124
11Auxerre186482428-422
12Angers186482127-622
13Reims185672426-221
14Rennes1852112427-317
15NantesNantes183872128-717
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1852111738-2117
17Le HavreLe Havre1841131437-2313
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1833121843-2512


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