MX23RW : Tuesday, May 21 21:42:29| >> :300:86500:86500:
Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 23
Feb 12, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade Lille-Metropole
Strasbourg

Lille
2 - 0
Strasbourg

David (23' pen., 28')
Virginius (80')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Prcic (36'), Dagba (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lyon 2-2 Lille (4-2 pen.)
Wednesday, February 8 at 5.15pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Strasbourg 2-0 Montpellier
Sunday, February 5 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lille 2-0 Strasbourg

Having scored 21 goals across their 11 home league games this season – securing six wins along the way – Lille should cruise to a comfortable victory over relegation-threatened Strasbourg, who have lost five of their past nine away league outings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 69.92%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 11.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.58%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 0-1 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Lille in this match.

Result
LilleDrawStrasbourg
69.92% (-0.452 -0.45) 18.09% (0.065000000000001 0.07) 11.99% (0.388 0.39)
Both teams to score 49.45% (1.072 1.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.71% (0.746 0.75)41.29% (-0.744 -0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.31% (0.752 0.75)63.68% (-0.751 -0.75)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.35% (0.087999999999994 0.09)10.64% (-0.087999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.51% (0.197 0.2)34.49% (-0.19600000000001 -0.2)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.34% (1.146 1.15)44.66% (-1.147 -1.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.34% (0.911 0.91)80.66% (-0.911 -0.91)
Score Analysis
    Lille 69.9%
    Strasbourg 11.99%
    Draw 18.09%
LilleDrawStrasbourg
2-0 @ 11.92% (-0.32 -0.32)
1-0 @ 10.64% (-0.33 -0.33)
2-1 @ 9.62% (0.055 0.05)
3-0 @ 8.91% (-0.203 -0.2)
3-1 @ 7.18% (0.066999999999999 0.07)
4-0 @ 4.99% (-0.095 -0.09)
4-1 @ 4.02% (0.052 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.89% (0.117 0.12)
5-0 @ 2.24% (-0.034 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.8% (0.03 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.62% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 4.08%
Total : 69.9%
1-1 @ 8.58% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.75% (-0.162 -0.16)
2-2 @ 3.88% (0.144 0.14)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 18.09%
0-1 @ 3.83% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.46% (0.116 0.12)
0-2 @ 1.54% (0.046 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.04% (0.07 0.07)
1-3 @ 0.93% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 11.99%

How you voted: Lille vs Strasbourg

Lille
84.4%
Draw
8.9%
Strasbourg
6.7%
45
Head to Head
Oct 14, 2022 8pm
Strasbourg
0-3
Lille
David (41' pen., 76'), Cabella (80')
Andre (17')
Apr 24, 2022 4.05pm
Lille
1-0
Strasbourg
Celik (87')
Gudmundsson (36'), Botman (60')

Perrin (40'), Guilbert (70'), Djiku (71')
Sep 25, 2021 6pm
Strasbourg
1-2
Lille
Sissoko (75')
Diallo (19'), Djiku (38'), Le Marchand (38'), Ajorque (83'), Stephan (88')
Thomasson (79')
David (23', 57')
Grbic (70'), Djalo (78'), Xeka (81'), Mandava (90+1')
Feb 28, 2021 4.05pm
Oct 4, 2020 2pm
Strasbourg
0-3
Lille

Djiku (42')
Celik (21'), Sanches (53'), Yilmaz (68')
Araujo (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG342210281334876
2MonacoMonaco34207768422667
3Brest341710753341961
4Lille341611752341859
5Nice341510940291155
6Lyon34165134955-653
7Lens34149114537851
8Marseille3413111052411150
9Reims34138134247-547
10Rennes341210125346746
11Toulouse341110134246-443
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier341012124348-541
13StrasbourgStrasbourg34109153850-1239
14NantesNantes3496193055-2533
15Le HavreLe Havre34711163445-1132
16Metz3485213558-2329
17Lorient3478194366-2329
RClermont34510192660-3425


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