Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Laval win with a probability of 41.22%. A win for Valenciennes had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Laval win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.2%) and 2-1 (7.99%). The likeliest Valenciennes win was 0-1 (11.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Laval in this match.