Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pau win with a probability of 49.85%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Dunkerque had a probability of 22.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pau win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Dunkerque win it was 0-1 (9.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.