Los Angeles3 - 1Earthquakes
Form, Standings, Stats
Monday, October 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
for
Sunday, October 6 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
for
We said: Los Angeles FC 3-0 San Jose Earthquakes
Goal difference could make the difference between first and second in the west, which is why we project the Black and Gold will show no mercy against a helpless defensive unit in San Jose. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 80.73%. A draw had a probability of 12% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 7.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 3-1 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.37%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (2.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.
Result | ||
Los Angeles FC | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
80.73% ( 0.02) | 12% ( 0.03) | 7.27% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 53.89% ( -0.48) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
73.87% ( -0.4) | 26.12% ( 0.4) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
53.63% ( -0.52) | 46.37% ( 0.51) |
Los Angeles FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.07% ( -0.08) | 4.92% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
80.25% ( -0.22) | 19.75% ( 0.22) |
San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.68% ( -0.46) | 43.31% ( 0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.44% ( -0.38) | 79.55% ( 0.38) |
Score Analysis |
Los Angeles FC | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
3-0 @ 9.7% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 4.4% ( 0) 5-1 @ 3.68% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.05) 6-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.03) 5-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.04) 7-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.73% Total : 80.73% | 1-1 @ 5.37% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 2.13% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.17% Total : 12% | 1-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.29% Total : 7.27% |
How you voted: Los Angeles vs Earthquakes
Eastern Conference
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 49 | 30 | 74 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 72 | 40 | 32 | 66 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 59 |
4 | Orlando City | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 52 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 51 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 50 |
7 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 47 |
8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 43 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 40 |
10 | DC United | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 52 | 70 | -18 | 40 |
11 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 62 | 55 | 7 | 37 |
12 | Toronto | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 37 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 36 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 30 |
Western Conference
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 64 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 64 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 59 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 57 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 54 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 52 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 61 | 60 | 1 | 50 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 47 |
9 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 47 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 42 |
11 | Dallas | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 41 |
12 | St Louis City | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 21 |