MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 06:38:12| >> :120:9688:9688:
Seattle Sounders
MLS Playoffs | MLS Cup Round One
Oct 29, 2024 at 12.50am UK
CenturyLink Field
Houston Dynamo

Seattle
0 - 0
Houston


Paulo (61'), Gomez Andrade (63'), Leyva (72'), Rothrock (83')
FT

Herrera (55')
Carrasquilla (66')
Seattle win 5-4 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Major League Soccer clash between Seattle Sounders and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Seattle 1-1 Portland
Sunday, October 20 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 2-1 LA Galaxy
Sunday, October 20 at 2am in Major League Soccer

We said: Seattle Sounders 1-0 Houston Dynamo

Given how strong both teams were defensively during the regular season, we are anticipating a tight affair here with neither team committing too much in attack.   However, Seattle Sounders will know the onus is more on them to make home advantage count, and we fancy them to get the job done, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 52.67%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 24.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Seattle SoundersDrawHouston Dynamo
52.67% (0.258 0.26) 23.17% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 24.15% (-0.236 -0.24)
Both teams to score 56.81% (-0.203 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.31% (-0.142 -0.14)43.69% (0.143 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.92% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)66.08% (0.142 0.14)
Seattle Sounders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.41% (0.040999999999997 0.04)16.59% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.61% (0.072000000000003 0.07)46.39% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.11% (-0.27500000000001 -0.28)31.89% (0.276 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.67% (-0.316 -0.32)68.33% (0.316 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Seattle Sounders 52.67%
    Houston Dynamo 24.15%
    Draw 23.17%
Seattle SoundersDrawHouston Dynamo
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.5% (0.072000000000001 0.07)
2-0 @ 8.54% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.84% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.11% (0.053 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.34% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.62% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.3% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.5% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.94% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 52.67%
1-1 @ 10.86%
2-2 @ 5.58% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.29% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.17%
1-2 @ 6.21% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-1 @ 6.05% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.46% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.37% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.32% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 24.15%

How you voted: Seattle vs Houston

Seattle Sounders
77.1%
Draw
20.0%
Houston Dynamo
2.9%
35
Head to Head
Sep 29, 2024 3.30am
Jun 20, 2024 1.30am
Houston
2-2
Seattle
Blessing (30', 40')
Ibrahim (6'), Raines (89'), Steres (90+3')
Rothrock (58'), Ragen (63')
Ruidiaz (90+4')
Jul 2, 2023 3.30am
Seattle
1-0
Houston
Rusnak (67')
Cissoko (18'), Baker (54')

Olsen (19'), Micael (61'), Caicedo (89'), Sviatchenko (90+5')
May 14, 2023 1.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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