Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colorado Rapids win with a probability of 55.67%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colorado Rapids win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.