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Minnesota United
Major League Soccer
Jul 4, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Allianz Field
Vancouver Whitecaps

Minnesota Utd
1 - 3
Vancouver

Hlongwane (30')
Sang-bin (13'), Bran (23'), Boxall (39'), Adebayo-Smith (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-2)
White (4'), Laborda (17'), Berhalter (60')
White (28'), Gauld (45+4'), Laborda (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Minnesota United and Vancouver Whitecaps, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portland 3-2 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, June 30 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 4-3 St Louis City
Sunday, June 30 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Minnesota United 2-1 Vancouver Whitecaps

While the Caps scored some sensational goals last weekend, they also showed their vulnerabilities along the backline, and we do not believe their individual quality will save them again on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 46.49%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 29.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.12%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
Minnesota UnitedDrawVancouver Whitecaps
46.49% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 23.6% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 29.9% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 60.43% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.82% (0.011000000000003 0.01)41.18% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.42% (0.010000000000005 0.01)63.58% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.03% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)17.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.19% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)48.81% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.67% (0.012 0.01)26.33% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.53% (0.016999999999996 0.02)61.46% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Minnesota United 46.49%
    Vancouver Whitecaps 29.9%
    Draw 23.6%
Minnesota UnitedDrawVancouver Whitecaps
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 8.12% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.97% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 5.32% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 3.99% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 3.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.28% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 1.71% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.52%
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 46.49%
1-1 @ 10.83%
2-2 @ 6.21% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.73% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-3 @ 1.58% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.6%
1-2 @ 7.23% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 6.31% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 4.21% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.22% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.76% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 1.87% (0.002 0)
1-4 @ 1.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 29.9%

How you voted: Minnesota Utd vs Vancouver

Minnesota United
60.9%
Draw
21.7%
Vancouver Whitecaps
17.4%
23
Head to Head
May 7, 2023 3.30am
Mar 26, 2023 12.30am
Jul 9, 2022 3.30am
Oct 28, 2021 3am
Gameweek 42
Vancouver
2-1
Minnesota Utd
Jungwirth (38'), Brown (83')
Dotson (84'), Reynoso (90')
rhs 2.0
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