National League North | Gameweek 4
Aug 20, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Impact Arena
Alfreton4 - 0Southport
Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and Southport.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Spennymoor 0-0 Alfreton
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League North
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League North
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Spennymoor Town | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 17 | Alfreton Town | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 18 | Brackley Town | 3 | -1 | 3 |
Last Game: Southport 1-0 Darlington
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League North
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League North
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Gloucester City | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Southport | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 5 | Fylde | 3 | 0 | 6 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 42.74%. A win for Southport had a probability of 31.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Southport win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Southport |
42.74% ( 0.96) | 25.46% ( 0.07) | 31.8% ( -1.03) |
| Both teams to score 55.04% ( -0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
