Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 47.03%. A win for Chester FC had a probability of 27.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest Chester FC win was 1-0 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.