Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 46.22%. A win for Bradford Park Avenue had a probability of 29.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Bradford Park Avenue win was 1-2 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curzon Ashton would win this match.