Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marine AFC win with a probability of 46.25%. A win for Radcliffe had a probability of 28.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marine AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Radcliffe win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Marine AFC in this match.