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National League South | Gameweek 28
Mar 4, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Mill Field
Yeovil Town

Aveley
0 - 0
Yeovil

FT
Coverage of the National League South clash between Aveley and Yeovil Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelmsford City 2-0 Aveley
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough 1-3 Yeovil
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yeovil Town win with a probability of 50.98%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Aveley had a probability of 24.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Yeovil Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.54%) and 0-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for an Aveley win it was 1-0 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
AveleyDrawYeovil Town
24.16% (0.422 0.42) 24.85% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 50.98% (-0.443 -0.44)
Both teams to score 51.45% (0.395 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.21% (0.296 0.3)50.78% (-0.295 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.32% (0.261 0.26)72.68% (-0.26000000000001 -0.26)
Aveley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.25% (0.543 0.54)35.74% (-0.542 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.48% (0.553 0.55)72.52% (-0.551 -0.55)
Yeovil Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.08% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)19.92% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.94% (-0.101 -0.1)52.05% (0.102 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Aveley 24.16%
    Yeovil Town 50.98%
    Draw 24.84%
AveleyDrawYeovil Town
1-0 @ 7.32% (0.021 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.08% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
2-0 @ 3.77% (0.066 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.09% (0.063 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.68% (0.047 0.05)
3-0 @ 1.29% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 24.16%
1-1 @ 11.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.12% (-0.085 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.067 0.07)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.84%
0-1 @ 11.48% (-0.16 -0.16)
1-2 @ 9.54% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9.27% (-0.148 -0.15)
1-3 @ 5.13% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.99% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.64% (0.031 0.03)
1-4 @ 2.07% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.01% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.06% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 50.98%

How you voted: Aveley vs Yeovil

Aveley
50.0%
Draw
16.7%
Yeovil Town
33.3%
6
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 11
Yeovil
3-1
Aveley
Murphy (13', 32'), Young (18')
Hughes (48')
rhs 2.0
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