MX23RW : Thursday, September 19 15:43:29| >> :300:86500:86500:
National League South | Gameweek 6
Aug 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Melbourne Cricket Ground

Chelmsford City
1 - 0
Eastbourne

Francis (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Eastbourne Borough.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelmsford City

All competitions
Last Game: Weymouth 0-3 Chelmsford City
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in National League South

Eastbourne Borough

All competitions
Last Game: Eastbourne 0-1 Truro City
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 54.24%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Eastbourne Borough had a probability of 21.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Eastbourne Borough win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chelmsford City in this match.

Result
Chelmsford CityDrawEastbourne Borough
54.24% (0.042000000000002 0.04) 24.3% (0.053999999999998 0.05) 21.46% (-0.099 -0.1)
Both teams to score 49.86% (-0.296 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.73% (-0.328 -0.33)51.27% (0.325 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.9% (-0.288 -0.29)73.1% (0.285 0.28)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.18% (-0.11 -0.11)18.82% (0.107 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.74% (-0.181 -0.18)50.25% (0.178 0.18)
Eastbourne Borough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.42% (-0.282 -0.28)38.57% (0.28 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.68% (-0.269 -0.27)75.32% (0.267 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Chelmsford City 54.23%
    Eastbourne Borough 21.46%
    Draw 24.3%
Chelmsford CityDrawEastbourne Borough
1-0 @ 12.12% (0.12 0.12)
2-0 @ 10.12% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.65% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.64% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.37% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.35% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.24% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 54.23%
1-1 @ 11.55% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.26% (0.094 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.59% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 24.3%
0-1 @ 6.92% (0.037 0.04)
1-2 @ 5.5% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.29% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.75% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.46% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.05% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 21.46%

Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Eastbourne
2-2
Chelmsford City
Scarlett (45'), Pearce (48')
Jones (35' pen.), Folivi (87')
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Chelmsford City
5-0
Eastbourne
Lodovica (8'), Ruff (10'), Olowu (62'), Jackson (65'), Yila (83')
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 31
Chelmsford City
0-1
Eastbourne
Marsden (79' og.)
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 13
Eastbourne
2-1
Chelmsford City
Olowu (42' og.), Hutchinson (63')
Jackson (86')
Mar 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 30
Chelmsford City
P-P
Eastbourne
rhs 2.0
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