National League South | Gameweek 12
Oct 8, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Perrys Crabble Stadium
Dover Athletic3 - 1Braintree
Coverage of the National League South clash between Dover Athletic and Braintree Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Welling United 1-1 Dover Athletic
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in National League South
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
14
Last Game: Braintree 1-0 St Albans City
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in National League South
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
18
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dover Athletic win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Braintree Town had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dover Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Braintree Town win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dover Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Dover Athletic | Draw | Braintree Town |
39.87% ( -0.23) | 25.82% ( -0.06) | 34.31% ( 0.29) |
Both teams to score 54.59% ( 0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.4% ( 0.31) | 49.6% ( -0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.38% ( 0.28) | 71.62% ( -0.27) |
Dover Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.48% ( 0.02) | 24.52% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.01% ( 0.03) | 58.99% ( -0.02) |
Braintree Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.33% ( 0.33) | 27.67% ( -0.33) |