We said: Barnet 1-2 Boreham Wood
Although their form has not been up to scratch in recent weeks, Boreham Wood attained the fourth-best away record in the division during the regular season, so we expect them to progress on Tuesday night, particularly considering Barnet have been very poor recently.
Grimsby Town proved that it is possible to win the playoffs after entering at the first stage with their promotion last season, but in truth whoever wins this encounter is likely to come unstuck against a fantastic Notts County side.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boreham Wood win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boreham Wood win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Barnet win was 1-0 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Boreham Wood in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Boreham Wood.