Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 49.09%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 27.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
Result | ||
Chesterfield | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
49.09% ( -0.73) | 23.84% ( 0.4) | 27.07% ( 0.34) |
Both teams to score 57.49% ( -1.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.87% ( -1.54) | 44.13% ( 1.53) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.49% ( -1.51) | 66.51% ( 1.51) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.91% ( -0.86) | 18.09% ( 0.86) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.98% ( -1.5) | 49.02% ( 1.5) |
Dorking Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.19% ( -0.55) | 29.81% ( 0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.11% ( -0.67) | 65.89% ( 0.67) |
Score Analysis |
Chesterfield | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.36) 2-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 5.44% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.15) 4-0 @ 1.92% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.57% Total : 49.09% | 1-1 @ 11.15% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.35) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.83% | 1-2 @ 6.75% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.33) 0-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.19% Total : 27.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 40 |
2 | York City | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
3 | Barnet | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 37 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Gateshead | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 28 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 24 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 22 |
14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 22 |
15 | Tamworth | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 21 |
17 | Woking | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 20 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 19 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 19 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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