Ebbsfleet

4 - 1

York City

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 57.82%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for York City had a probability of 20.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a York City win it was 1-2 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.